Shall We Repeal the Laws of Economics?
oaktreecapital.com · 2024-09-19 · tier T2
Source: Memo · oaktreecapital.com dated 2024-09-19. Auto-generated factual summary. Not investment advice. Verify before acting.
Howard Marks contends that U.S. politicians from both parties—citing Trump's tariff proposals and Harris's price-gouging ban—make campaign promises that defy economic fundamentals. Marks argues that price controls, rent regulations, and wage mandates consistently fail because they ignore supply-and-demand mechanics and create unintended consequences. He cites Venezuela's price controls, New York's rent stabilization (which has left 20,000 apartments vacant), and California's $20 fast-food minimum wage as cautionary examples. Marks emphasizes that free markets, despite producing unequal outcomes, drive productivity and prosperity more effectively than command economies. He notes China's pragmatic reliance on private enterprise (60% of GDP) despite communist ideology, and warns that government attempts to pick winners and losers through regulation distort incentives without delivering promised benefits.
Citations · 6
“As of 2022, there are roughly 20,000 vacant rent stabilized apartments in New York City.”
p#56 · confidence 95%
“When prices are set below production costs, sellers can't afford to keep the shelves stocked.”
p#38 · confidence 92%
“Private firms contribute 60% of China's GDP, 70% of its innovative capacity, 80% of its urban employment and 90% of new jobs.”
p#115 · confidence 90%
“Profit margins in the supermarket industry are low – about 1% to 2% of sales – and that changed only a little in 2021-22.”
p#17 · confidence 93%
“projected to increase the national deficit by $5.8 trillion over the next decade, or $4.1 trillion after incorporating their potential stimulative impact”
p#76 · confidence 94%
“between 2002 and 2017, for example, the growth in the number of rental apartments in New York City was only 0.3%, per year.”
p#54 · confidence 95%
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