4Q25 Partners Fund Commentary
southeasternasset.com · 2025-12-31 · tier T1
Source: Letter · southeasternasset.com dated 2025-12-31. Auto-generated factual summary. Not investment advice. Verify before acting.
Longleaf Partners Fund returned 2.93% in 2025, underperforming the S&P 500's 17.88% return. Management attributed underperformance to insufficient exposure to big winners: while over 35% of the S&P 500 rose more than 20% (averaging 50% gains), only 5% of the fund's portfolio exceeded 20% (averaging 35% gains). Management drew parallels to prior turning-point years (1987, 1999, 2007, 2021) when momentum-driven markets in late bull cycles preceded downturns. The fund holds 45% in defensive sectors and cash combined, similar to 1999 positioning. Management raised the maximum single-position limit from 6.5% to 8% to enhance engagement capacity and tax efficiency. Key contributors included Mattel, Regeneron, and IAC/MGM Resorts; detractors included Kraft Heinz, PayPal, and PVH. Management expressed confidence in portfolio resilience, noting bond spreads on holdings are roughly half 2007/2021 levels.
Citations · 6
“1 Year: 2.93”
p#5 · confidence 95%
“over 35% of the S&P 500 was up more than 20% this year (with an average return of just over 50%), only about 5% of our portfolio was up 20% or more this year (average return of 35%)”
p#7 · confidence 95%
“We are moving our limit from the initial 6.5% to 8%”
p#11 · confidence 95%
“our current weighting in sectors like this combined with cash is approximately 45%, much like it was in 1999, but not like it was in 2007 and 2021, when it was approximately 20%”
p#16 · confidence 95%
“spreads to the US 10-year treasury for our holdings today are roughly half the levels they were in 2007 and 2021”
p#17 · confidence 95%
“Years like this (and 1987, 1999, 2007 and 2021) when a momentum-driven market puts up numbers late in a bull market can signal danger ahead”
p#7 · confidence 90%
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Mason Hawkins
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