2Q25 Partners Fund Commentary
southeasternasset.com · 2025-06-30 · tier T1
Source: Letter · southeasternasset.com dated 2025-06-30. Auto-generated factual summary. Not investment advice. Verify before acting.
Longleaf Partners underperformed the S&P 500 in Q2 2025, returning 5.33% versus the index's 10.94%, but the fund argues this reflects disciplined positioning rather than weakness. The managers contend that the overall market is misdistributing earnings uncertainty on a stock-by-stock basis, with indexing and "never let you down" stocks driving valuations while speculation in lower-quality names fuels rallies. The fund's portfolio trades at a price-to-value ratio in the low-60s% and a price-to-free cash flow multiple below 10x, compared to the market's 20x-plus multiple, offering what the managers describe as a compelling margin of safety. The fund holds 19 positions and maintains 18.2% cash. Key themes include tariff-exposed names (Mattel, PVH, FedEx) taking offensive actions like share repurchases and spin-offs; healthcare holdings (Regeneron, Bio-Rad) executing intelligent capital allocation amid policy uncertainty from the new administration; and energy stocks (CNX Resources, HF Sinclair) benefiting from geopolitical tensions and value-creating moves. Notable Q2 contributors included HF Sinclair, a new undisclosed media and entertainment purchase, and MGM Resorts, which reported strong results and is executing share repurchases. Detractors included Kraft Heinz, which the fund believes the market is overlooking despite a quality mix shift toward premium brands, and Regeneron, where the fund increased its position on share price weakness following disappointing market reaction to Eylea focus and a negative clinical trial. The fund exited Affiliated Managers Group as markets hit highs and initiated two new positions during the quarter. The managers remain optimistic about portfolio companies' operational progress and are deploying cash in a measured way, citing solid returns and a strong start to Q3.
Citations · 6
“the overall market is not evenly distributing the widespread earnings uncertainty on a proper stock by stock basis...we also saw a concerning amount of speculation in lower quality stocks”
p#10 · confidence 95%
“we can have an attractive price-to-value ratio (P/V) in the low-60s% and a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) multiple for the portfolio below 10x when the market trades at well above 20x”
p#10 · confidence 95%
“we continue to own multiple securities with some kind of potential tariff impact...Mattel, PVH and FedEx on offense with tangible actions such as share repurchases, insider buying and even a pending spin-off”
p#11 · confidence 95%
“Our holdings in Regeneron and Bio-Rad have management teams on offense...via intelligent moves like share repurchase, when the industry (one not known for great capital allocation) is often going in the other direction”
p#11 · confidence 93%
“We took the opportunity to increase our position on the share price weakness when the stock price decline far outpaced the value per share impacts of these items”
p#18 · confidence 90%
“Cash 18.2%, # of Holdings 19...We exited our position in Affiliated Managers Group as markets hit highs...we initiated two new positions”
p#9 · confidence 95%
Follow this investor
Mason Hawkins
More from Mason Hawkins
Browse all →- Letter
Longleaf warns markets have reached speculative extremes, with CAPE at historic highs and AI-driven multiples disconnecting from real FCF.
Sources & details
- Letter
Summarized by DailySharpe AI