Year-End 2024 – Sequoia Fund Letter
sequoiafund.com · 2024-12-31 · tier T1
Source: Letter · sequoiafund.com dated 2024-12-31. Auto-generated factual summary. Not investment advice. Verify before acting.
Ruane Cunniff's Investment Committee argued in its Q4 2024 letter that the U.S. stock market has reached a level of concentration never seen before — not at the dot-com peak, not during the Nifty Fifty era, not in the Roaring Twenties. Seven stocks accounted for roughly half of the S&P 500's return in 2024, and the Magnificent Seven now comprises over one-third of the index. The committee stated it is unwilling, with two exceptions, to invest in those names at current prices, preferring businesses trading below intrinsic value over ones that "demand exceptional outcomes." The committee also argued that the market's recent compound returns are unsustainable. It stated the market will not compound at 25% — its pace over the past two years — nor at 15% over the long term, since that rate sits roughly 20% above the 50-year annualized return. Long-run returns, the committee argued, are ultimately constrained by corporate profit growth and economic growth. Portfolio activity in 2024 included trimming Taiwan Semiconductor after its shares rose 90% and SAP after a nearly 60% gain, while adding to Universal Music Group and Charter Communications on price weakness, and initiating a position in ICON plc after shares fell 47% from their highs. Sequoia returned 20.79% in 2024 versus 25.02% for the S&P 500, with Rolls-Royce — up 86% in 2024 and the fund's largest holding at 8.9% of capital — as the standout performer.
Citations · 6
“The market has never been – not at the peak of dot-com bubble, not during the heyday of the Nifty Fifty, not even in the final days of the Roaring Twenties – this concentrated.”
p#1 · confidence 98%
“a mere seven stocks accounted for nearly two thirds of the S&P 500's return in 2023 and half of its return in 2024. The "Magnificent Seven" now comprises over a third of the Index.”
p#1 · confidence 97%
“we are willing to make this one: in the longest term, it will not compound at over 25%, as it has over the past two years. We will go further: in the longest term, it will not compound at 15%, as it has since June 2016, and which puts it roughly 20% above its 50-year annualized return.”
p#1 · confidence 97%
“The shares promptly headed south, and at one point were down as much as 47% from an all-time high reached just months earlier. We took notice. We acquired our shares way off the highs and, more importantly, at what we consider an attractive price.”
p#1 · confidence 95%
“Taiwan Semiconductor's share price soared 90% this year, prompting us to trim our position in the fourth quarter. The company's revenues and profits grew on the order of 30% this year, as an industry-wide cyclical soft patch naturally hardened and gave way to a boom in demand among AI-centric datacenters.”
p#1 · confidence 96%
“Shares in Rolls Royce surged 86% in US dollar terms in 2024, bringing its impressive two-year cumulative return to over 535%. We expect Rolls' Civil Aerospace segment will have produced an operating profit margin exceeding 16% in 2024, versus the 11.5% margin it reported in 2023.”
p#1 · confidence 96%
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Sequoia Fund underperformed the S&P 500 by 340 basis points in Q2 2026, adding to Bio-Techne, SAP, and ICON while trimming Sunbelt Rentals and Elevance Health.
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